TSLATesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. sells electric vehicles, energy storage systems, and solar products. The next catalyst is Oct 22, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test the company’s ability to sustain margins and navigate regulatory scrutiny.
- Free cash flow (TTM): $7.41B
- Net margin (TTM): 4.1%
- Revenue growth YoY: -2.9%
The Read
Tesla's stock historically saw a median absolute move of ~11%.
The schedule
- Wed21Apr
Quarterly earnings report with production and delivery updates, margin guidance, and strategic direction.
- Thu29Jul
Quarterly earnings report with production and delivery updates, margin guidance, and strategic direction.
- Tue31Aug
Announcement of a new phase in Tesla's strategic direction, potentially including new product launches or market expansion.
- Thu28Oct
Past
- Fri2Oct
Actual outcome: Mixed · $377.69 at outcome
Price at outcome date was between bear floor ($355.00) and bull target ($405.00).
Price at outcome date was between bear floor ($355.00) and bull target ($405.00).
- Thu24Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $354.19 at outcome
Stock rose 7.8% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bull trajectory.
Stock rose 7.8% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bull trajectory.
- Thu24Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $354.89 at outcome
Price reached or exceeded bull target ($380.00) at outcome date.
Price reached or exceeded bull target ($380.00) at outcome date.
- Wed23Sep
Actual outcome: Bear · $354.89 at outcome
Stock fell 19.8% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bear trajectory.
Announcement of collaboration on autonomous driving technology, enhancing competitive positioning.
- Tue15Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $375.18 at outcome
Stock rose 13.7% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bull trajectory.
Stock rose 13.7% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bull trajectory.
- Tue15Sep
Actual outcome: Bear · $352.94 at outcome
Stock fell 24.7% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bear trajectory.
Stock fell 24.7% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bear trajectory.
- Thu10Sep
Launch of new steering-wheel technology for autonomous driving, potentially boosting brand perception and sales.
Scouting Reports

USMCA’s 50% Rule Hits Auto Supply Chains
May 30, 2026
The automotive trade landscape is facing a structural stress test. In a push to rewrite the integration of the North American supply chain, administration negotiators are proposing a requirement that
Read more →
The EV Component Shift: Beyond Automakers
May 21, 2026
The EV & Autonomous Mobility Transition is actively fracturing into a two-tiered market. On one side, pure-play vehicle manufacturers are contending with stagnant consumer adoption and shifting prefer
Read more →
The 25% Auto Wall: Girding for the May 8 Tariff Implementation
May 2, 2026
The clock is ticking for European automakers as the May 8 implementation date for a 25% U.S. tariff on EU-built cars and trucks approaches. This move, central to the current administration's shift tow
Read more →