couter

Oct 15, 2026 — South American 2026–27 planting season and weather update
Chart by TradingView

The schedule

  • Thu15Oct

    Market focus shifts to crop yield potential and La Niña weather patterns affecting the upcoming South American planting season.

  • Mon30Nov

    A critical update on management's strategy to address the heavy debt load and stave off liquidity cliffs amid negative free cash flow.

  • Sun7Feb

    Q3 results will likely highlight the tension between top-line agricultural yields and restrictive debt servicing costs.

  • Sun9May

    Q4 earnings will reflect the aftermath of the balance sheet restructuring and the realization of late-season agricultural volumes.

  • Sun8Aug

    First-quarter results to validate the sustainability of Adecoagro's new capital structure and its ability to return to positive cash generation.

Past

  • Sun9Aug

    Actual outcome: Bear · $8.91 at outcome

    Adecoagro reported record adjusted EBITDA of $173 million for Q2 2026, matching expectations, but the stock fell 7.8% as concerns over accelerating cash burn and thin interest coverage overshadowed the results. The market reacted negatively to the underlying financial pressures, despite the strong EBITDA performance.

    Adecoagro's Q2 print will test whether strong 22% YoY revenue growth can offset accelerating cash burn and thin 0.69x interest coverage.

  • Sat1Aug

    Actual outcome: Bear · $9.45 at outcome

    The stock remained pressured near the bear floor as the market priced in the negative impacts of President Trump's global trade and tariff agenda. Concerns over restrictive trade policies and their potential to disrupt South American agricultural export flows weighed heavily on investor sentiment, keeping shares depressed.

    Market pricing of President Trump's global trade and tariff agenda and its direct impact on South American agricultural export flows.