GOOGLAlphabet Inc.
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) sells search, advertising, and cloud services, with its core engine driving revenue through Google Ads and YouTube. The next catalyst is Oct 28, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test the business’s ability to sustain growth amid rising capex and evolving ad-market dynamics.
- Alphabet’s revenue grew 13.9% YoY to $343.78B in 2025, with net margin at 69.2% (TTM).
- Free cash flow (TTM) reached $87.35B, with debt-to-equity at 0.04x.
- Shareholders’ equity stands at $415.26B, and diluted EPS was $9.11.
The schedule
- Wed28Oct
The Q3 2026 earnings release will provide insight into Alphabet's financial performance and guidance on its AI investments and revenue growth. This event is expected to have a significant impact on the stock price, as it will offer a clearer picture of the company's progress in key areas. Investors will be closely watching for any positive surprises or signs of strategic shifts that could influence market sentiment.
- Thu31Dec
The start of Greg Abel's tenure at Alphabet could signal a shift in strategic direction and may influence investor sentiment in the short term. Leadership transitions often bring uncertainty, but they can also indicate new priorities or initiatives that could impact the company's performance. Market participants will be looking for signs of stability and clarity during this transition period.
- Fri23Apr
The Q1 2027 earnings release will provide updated financial performance and guidance on Alphabet's AI and cloud growth initiatives. This event is expected to have a significant impact on the stock price, as it will offer a clearer picture of the company's progress in key areas. Investors will be closely watching for any positive surprises or signs of strategic shifts that could influence market sentiment.
- Thu29Jul
The Q2 2027 earnings release will provide updated financial performance and guidance on Alphabet's AI and cloud growth initiatives. This event is expected to have a significant impact on the stock price, as it will offer a clearer picture of the company's progress in key areas. Investors will be closely watching for any positive surprises or signs of strategic shifts that could influence market sentiment.
- Wed25Aug
The announcement of Alphabet selecting Rezolve AI could signal a strategic move in the AI space and may impact market sentiment. AI partnerships or acquisitions often drive short-term market reactions, as investors assess the potential value and execution of such moves. Market participants will be looking for clarity on how this partnership aligns with the company's long-term goals.
- Thu28Oct
Past
- Thu10Sep
Actual outcome: Bear · $342.33 at outcome
- Wed5Aug
Actual outcome: Bull · $344.20 at outcome
Alphabet's stock fell 4% after announcing a major AI leadership overhaul, including the departure of Jeff Dean (chief scientist for 27 years) and Demis Hassabis stepping down from DeepMind CEO. The restructuring raised concerns about Google's competitive positioning in the AI race and investor confidence in its long-term strategy. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-06 (~3.4σ vs typical 1d vol). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). Confidence 95%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-12: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-13: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-13 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-14: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-17: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-18: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-18 observed.
Alphabet's stock fell 4% after announcing a major AI leadership overhaul, including the departure of Jeff Dean (chief scientist for 27 years) and Demis Hassabis stepping down from DeepMind CEO. The restructuring raised concerns about Google's competitive positioning in the AI race and investor confidence in its long-term strategy. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-06 (~3.4σ vs typical 1d vol). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). Confidence 95%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target evaluation date 2026-08-07 (not yet reached as of 2026-08-06). [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-12: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-13: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-13 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-14: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-17: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-18: +6.7% from 2026-07-30 (~3.4σ). Target date 2026-08-07 reached; move through 2026-08-18 observed.
- Wed22Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $373.51 at outcome
GOOGL beat earnings expectations with an EPS of 9.23 vs. estimate 9.23, signaling strong performance. The AI CapEx update and forward guidance indicated continued investment in growth areas, which supported the stock's rally despite a flat EPS. The positive sentiment around strategic initiatives and long-term growth prospects drove the 9.2% price increase.
GOOGL beat earnings expectations with an EPS of 9.23 vs. estimate 9.23, signaling strong performance. The AI CapEx update and forward guidance indicated continued investment in growth areas, which supported the stock's rally despite a flat EPS. The positive sentiment around strategic initiatives and long-term growth prospects drove the 9.2% price increase.
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