MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.
This is the year Monolithic Power Systems has to prove it’s more than a flash in the pan. The next catalyst — the Q3 2026 earnings release on 2026-11-04 — is the first real test of whether the company can sustain its explosive revenue growth and maintain margins that have already outpaced the sector. If it hits its bull target of $1350.00, the path is clear: a steady march toward $1557.29 by Q4 2026, then $1860.56 by Q1 2027, and finally a potential breakout to $1992.94 or even $2381.05 by Q2 2027. But if it fails to meet expectations, the bear path — a drop to $1100.00, $1279.20, $1539.78, and then $1762.98 — is a warning sign that the company’s growth may be a mirage. The lean is currently 50% bull, but the next step is bullish, and the market is watching closely.
The schedule
- Wed4Nov
The Q3 2026 earnings release will provide insight into the company's performance for the third quarter of 2026, along with guidance for the full year of 2027. The report will focus on key metrics such as revenue growth and margin expansion, which are critical indicators of the company's financial health and operational efficiency. Investors will be looking for signs of strong performance and positive outlook for the upcoming year, which could influence stock price movements in the following weeks.
- Tue9Feb
The Q4 2026 earnings release will provide insight into the company's performance for the fourth quarter of 2026, along with guidance for the full year of 2027. The report will focus on key metrics such as revenue growth and margin expansion, which are critical indicators of the company's financial health and operational efficiency. Investors will be looking for signs of strong performance and positive outlook for the upcoming year, which could influence stock price movements in the following weeks.
- Mon3May
The Q1 2027 earnings release will provide insight into the company's performance for the first quarter of 2027, along with guidance for the full year of 2027. The report will focus on key metrics such as revenue growth and margin expansion, which are critical indicators of the company's financial health and operational efficiency. Investors will be looking for signs of strong performance and positive outlook for the upcoming year, which could influence stock price movements in the following weeks.
- Sat10Jul
There is potential for a rebound in analog chip stocks due to improved demand in the industrial and automotive sectors. These sectors are showing signs of recovery, which could lead to increased demand for analog chips used in various applications. This event could result in a positive price movement for the stock, especially if the broader market sentiment improves and investors become more optimistic about the sector's prospects.
- Wed4Aug
The Q2 2027 earnings release will provide insight into the company's performance for the second quarter of 2027, along with guidance for the full year of 2027. The report will focus on key metrics such as revenue growth and margin expansion, which are critical indicators of the company's financial health and operational efficiency. Investors will be looking for signs of strong performance and positive outlook for the upcoming year, which could influence stock price movements in the following weeks.
Past
- Wed5Aug
Actual outcome: Bear
MPWR beat EPS estimates with a strong Q2 result, driven by significant growth in Enterprise Data revenue and improved margins. The company also provided optimistic guidance for Q3, which fueled investor confidence and led to a material price increase despite the earnings beat.
MPWR beat EPS estimates with a strong Q2 result, driven by significant growth in Enterprise Data revenue and improved margins. The company also provided optimistic guidance for Q3, which fueled investor confidence and led to a material price increase despite the earnings beat.
- Mon3Aug
Actual outcome: Bear · $1,402.11 at outcome
Although MPWR met Q2 EPS estimates and reported a 48% year-over-year revenue surge driven by AI and Enterprise Data demand, the stock ultimately broke below the bear floor. Initial post-earnings optimism was eclipsed by mounting concerns over double-ordering, a premium valuation, and an investor investigation into alleged false statements regarding product quality, which drove significant selling pressure.
Although MPWR met Q2 EPS estimates and reported a 48% year-over-year revenue surge driven by AI and Enterprise Data demand, the stock ultimately broke below the bear floor. Initial post-earnings optimism was eclipsed by mounting concerns over double-ordering, a premium valuation, and an investor investigation into alleged false statements regarding product quality, which drove significant selling pressure.
- Thu5Feb
Actual outcome: Bull · $1,206.18 at outcome
MPWR delivered a fundamental beat, reporting Q4 EPS of $4.79 (vs. $4.74 estimate) and record revenue of $751.2 million, successfully clearing the high revenue expectation (>$750M) necessary to validate its premium valuation. This strong performance, driven by growth in computing and automotive segments, confirmed the bull case narrative of exceptional demand, leading to immediate analyst forecast increases and an initial price rally, keeping the stock well above the bear floor.
MPWR delivered a fundamental beat, reporting Q4 EPS of $4.79 (vs. $4.74 estimate) and record revenue of $751.2 million, successfully clearing the high revenue expectation (>$750M) necessary to validate its premium valuation. This strong performance, driven by growth in computing and automotive segments, confirmed the bull case narrative of exceptional demand, leading to immediate analyst forecast increases and an initial price rally, keeping the stock well above the bear floor.