GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.
The schedule
- Thu15Oct
A strategic review of Grocery Outlet's $1.84B debt profile against its thin $58.9M cash position. Easing refinancing risks drives a $11.30 target, whereas perceived dilution or debt-service strain resets shares to a $9.50 fallback.
- Mon9Nov
The mandatory Q3 earnings print will assess whether the company's value-oriented merchandising is capturing down-trading consumers. A beat targets $10.35, while continued net income contraction pulls shares to $8.50.
- Tue9Feb
The pivotal FY27 outlook is crucial for signaling a permanent return to positive EPS. Favorable forward guidance aims for $11.50, while a cautious outlook on consumer spending sets a $9.20 fallback.
- Mon10May
Q1 2027 earnings will serve as an early validation of the FY27 thesis. Sustained operational leverage targets $12.50, whereas a shortfall in store performance pulls shares back to $10.40.
- Mon9Aug
Past
- Mon3Aug
Actual outcome: Mixed · $9.69 at outcome
The stock traded flat, falling just 0.6% through the outcome date, as the anticipated store portfolio optimization and restructuring update did not materialize. The only relevant news was the scheduling of the Q2 earnings call for August 12, leaving investors waiting for the official report to gauge the company's margin recovery efforts.
An anticipated update on GO's store portfolio restructuring and margin recovery efforts, essential given the company's negative TTM EPS of -$2.50. A favorable update could push shares toward $10.50, while execution delays risk an $8.90 floor.
- Sat27Jun
Actual outcome: Bull · $10.39 at outcome
Grocery Outlet reported Q2 2026 EPS of -$1.83, exactly meeting analyst estimates. While the stock saw a minor 2% dip immediately following the event, it maintained its broader upward trajectory to close at $9.72, well above the $9.10 bull target. The in-line earnings results provided crucial stability following February's guidance reset, reassuring investors that the company's store portfolio optimization and margin recovery plans are progressing as expected.
Q2 2026 earnings and an updated FY26 outlook will be the first full quarter after the February guidance reset and store portfolio optimization plan, with investors focused on comp trends, gross margin recovery, and clarity on restructuring charges.
- Tue24Feb
Actual outcome: Mixed · $9.88 at outcome
The company reported Q4 EPS of -$2.23, exactly matching consensus estimates. The stock saw a muted initial reaction, falling just 2.1% by the outcome date as the in-line results and 2026 guidance provided no clear directional catalyst, though shares subsequently trended lower in the following months.
The company reported Q4 EPS of -$2.23, exactly matching consensus estimates. The stock saw a muted initial reaction, falling just 2.1% by the outcome date as the in-line results and 2026 guidance provided no clear directional catalyst, though shares subsequently trended lower in the following months.
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