CMECME Group Inc.
CME Group Inc. sells derivatives and futures contracts, offering a global platform for trading everything from interest rates to commodities. The next catalyst is Oct 30, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test the business’s ability to sustain growth amid regulatory headwinds and evolving market dynamics.
- Revenue hit $6.82B in 2026, with a net margin of 50.0% (TTM).
- Debt-to-equity ratio is 0.00x, reflecting a strong balance sheet.
- Shareholders’ equity stands at $28.73B, with diluted EPS of $2.88.
The Read
9% amid institutional selling and weak ADV data, but rebounded 1.
The schedule
- Tue9Feb
- Fri23Apr
- Fri23Jul
Past
- Fri11Sep
Actual outcome: Bear · $274.07 at outcome
The stock closed below the bear floor of $281.07, indicating a bearish reaction. The price action was driven by negative sentiment surrounding the announcement of the 24/7 trading expansion, which failed to meet market expectations, and broader concerns about the Fed's rate hike outlook, which pressured the financial sector.
- Fri11Sep
Actual outcome: Bear · $274.07 at outcome
The stock closed below the bear floor of $281.07, indicating a bearish reaction. The price action was driven by negative sentiment surrounding the announcement of the 24/7 trading expansion, which failed to meet market expectations, and broader concerns about the Fed's rate hike outlook, which pressured the financial sector.
- Fri24Jul
Q3 2026 Earnings Release and Guidance
- Fri24Apr
Actual outcome: Bull · $290.78 at outcome
Price reached or exceeded bull target ($300.00) at outcome date.
- Tue31Mar
Actual outcome: Bear · $295.30 at outcome
CME shares remained under pressure near the bear floor as the Q1 ADV checkpoint failed to provide a bullish catalyst to offset heavy institutional liquidation, including a 98% stake reduction by Assenagon Asset Management. The stock's stagnation was further exacerbated by insider selling from the General Counsel and a broader trend of institutional outflows, suggesting that the volume data for Treasury and Energy futures did not meet the high expectations required to drive the price toward the bull target.
- Thu26Feb
Actual outcome: Bull · $302.27 at outcome
CME delivered strong Q4 results, slightly beating EPS estimates and confirming robust operational performance driven by record annual revenue, expanding profit margins, and strong trading volumes in key segments. The fundamental strength was reinforced by the declaration of a substantial $6.15 annual variable dividend and strategic announcements regarding new product launches (Single Stock Futures), validating the bull case. This combination of operational excellence and strong capital return drove the stock well past the $298 bull target.
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