AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Limited
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) faces key catalysts in the coming months, with the Q3 2026 earnings release serving as a critical test for the company’s performance and guidance. The gold sector’s sensitivity to macroeconomic signals and gold price trends will shape investor sentiment. While the company’s recent results showed resilience, with a strong Q2 2026 beat and improved financials, the path forward depends on continued cost management and production growth. The historical volatility data is not available, but Scouter’s modeled bull path for the Q3 2026 earnings event is $227.00, with a bear floor at $183.00, reflecting a 54% bull lean.
The schedule
- Wed28Oct
The Q3 2026 earnings release will provide insight into Agnico Eagle’s performance against its guidance, with a focus on gold production and cost management. The bull case hinges on strong production figures, efficient cost control, and positive macroeconomic signals that support gold prices. A beat on earnings and guidance could drive the stock higher, with the bull target at $227.00. Conversely, a miss or weaker-than-expected guidance could lead to a bearish outcome, with the bear fallback at $183.00. The bull probability is 54%, suggesting a balanced outlook. A strong performance could validate the bull case, while underperformance would align with the bear path.
- Tue9Feb
The Q4 2026 earnings release will offer a final look at the year’s performance, with a focus on year-end results and the 2027 outlook. A strong finish to the year, supported by higher gold prices and improved operational efficiency, could push the stock toward the bull target of $245.00. A weaker-than-expected result or downward guidance would trigger a bearish move to $180.00. The bull probability is 52%, reflecting a cautious outlook. Positive earnings and guidance would confirm the bull case, while a miss could align with the bear path.
- Thu29Apr
The Q1 2027 earnings release will provide early insight into the company’s performance in the first quarter of 2027, with a focus on gold production and cost management. A strong start to the year, supported by higher gold prices and efficient operations, could drive the stock toward the bull target of $260.00. A weaker-than-expected result or guidance could lead to a bearish move to $210.00. The bull probability is 52%, indicating a balanced outlook. A beat on earnings and guidance would confirm the bull case, while underperformance would align with the bear path.
- Thu5Aug
The Q2 2027 earnings release will offer a key update on Agnico Eagle’s performance, with a focus on gold production and cost management. A strong result, supported by higher gold prices and efficient operations, could push the stock toward the bull target of $280.00. A weaker-than-expected result or downward guidance would trigger a bearish move to $230.00. The bull probability is 52%, reflecting a cautious outlook. A beat on earnings and guidance would confirm the bull case, while underperformance would align with the bear path.
Past
- Sat15Aug
Actual outcome: Bull
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) reported strong Q2 2026 results, exceeding capital return targets with $3.07 non-GAAP EPS and $3.8B revenue. The stock rallied on improved gold prices and robust financials, supported by a technical breakout and fundamental upside potential, driving the price above the bull target of $160.00.
Agnico Eagle’s H2 2026 cost inflation and AISC update was followed by a strong Q2 2026 result, which exceeded capital return targets. The stock rallied above the bull target of $160.00, confirming the positive outcome. The bull probability was 55%, and the actual outcome aligned with the modeled bull path. The price surged 14.6% following the report, driven by improved gold prices and robust financials.
- Wed29Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $165.45 at outcome
Agnico Eagle (AEM) beat earnings estimates with an EPS of $3.11 vs. $3.11, matching expectations. The stock rallied on strong Q2 free cash flow results, growth project advancements, and management's reaffirmation of 2026 guidance. Positive forward guidance on 20%-30% production growth through organic expansion and stable margins drove the 14.6% price surge, signaling confidence in long-term value.
Agnico Eagle’s Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations, with an EPS of $3.11, matching the forecast. The stock rallied to $165.45, surpassing the bull target of $169.70 by a small margin. The bull probability was 55%, and the outcome matched the modeled bull path. The price error was -2.5%, indicating a close alignment with the prediction.
