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VXXiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN

Sep 16, 2026 — September 2026 FOMC and Q4 Risk Sentiment Setup
Chart by TradingView

The schedule

  • Wed16Sep

    The September 2026 FOMC meeting sets the tone for year-end risk-taking; if the Fed leans more hawkish into a softening economy, equity markets could de-rate and drive VIX sharply higher, lifting VXX toward $30.00, while a steady or dovish stance into a resilient macro backdrop would likely reinforce carry trades and push VXX down toward $30.00.

  • Thu15Oct

    As Q3 2026 earnings season ramps, any cluster of profit warnings or signs of credit stress could shift the market from a soft-landing narrative to a harder-landing concern, driving VIX sharply higher and pulling VXX up toward $26.00; if results are broadly solid and credit spreads stay contained, volatility should compress and VXX may slide further toward $26.00.

  • Tue3Nov

    The November 2026 US midterm elections are a classic political-volatility catalyst: a contested outcome or surprise shift in congressional control could drive a risk-off move and sustained VIX premium that lifts VXX toward $34.00, while a fast, orderly result with limited policy surprise would likely see volatility sold aggressively and VXX retreat toward $34.00.

  • Sun31Jan

    By early 2027, the typical pattern is for post-election volatility to mean-revert; if the macro backdrop is stable and no new crises emerge, VIX futures should roll down and VXX is likely to erode toward $30.00, while even in a relatively supportive volatility regime the best realistic outcome for holders is a more modest decay toward $30.00 as roll costs chip away at any residual premium and ETN structural risks—such as issuance caps or creation suspensions—limit upside.

Past

  • Sat22Aug

    The Jackson Hole symposium often reframes Fed policy expectations; a surprise on inflation or growth that unsettles equities could see VIX futures reprice higher and VXX rebound toward $32.00, while a benign message combined with typical late-summer risk-on would likely push VXX further down toward $32.00 as contango and time decay dominate.

  • Wed17Jun

    The June 2026 FOMC meeting comes with the S&P 500 near highs and the VIX at 19.23, creating a window where a hawkish surprise or growth scare could trigger a volatility spike that lifts VXX toward $36.00, while a steady Fed and resilient risk appetite would likely see spot VIX drift lower and VXX slide toward $36.00 as roll decay reasserts.