couter

OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.

Sep 15, 2026 — Macro credit spread and recession risk for BDCs
Chart by TradingView

The schedule

  • Tue15Sep

    Into late Q3 2026, shifts in macro credit spreads and recession expectations will be an important external catalyst for Oxford Square Capital Corp., with the stock assumed near $1.80 and BDCs generally sensitive to funding costs and portfolio company health.

  • Thu1Oct

    By early Q4 2026, Oxford Square Capital Corp. may consider capital structure actions such as issuing new debt or equity, or refinancing existing facilities, a common step for BDCs with volatile earnings and meaningful leverage when the stock trades near $1.50.

  • Fri28May

    Q3 2026 earnings and commentary on the 2027 outlook will be critical for Oxford Square Capital Corp., with the stock around $1.30 and investors assessing whether the firm can deliver more stable net investment income and protect net asset value into the next credit cycle.

  • Tue7Sep

Past

  • Tue11Aug

    Q2 2026 earnings will show how Oxford Square Capital Corp.’s portfolio is performing through mid-2026, with the stock around $1.45 and investors focused on non-accruals, realized losses, and the ability to cover the dividend.

  • Wed15Jul

    Around mid-2026, Oxford Square Capital Corp. is likely to reassess its dividend level and payout ratio as it digests the first half of 2026 earnings, a key catalyst for a high-yield BDC trading at $1.65 where income investors dominate the shareholder base.

  • Fri1May

    Q1 2026 results and the accompanying dividend declaration will be the first chance for Oxford Square Capital Corp. to show whether the large Q4 2025 loss was a one-off mark-to-market hit or the start of a weaker earnings trend, and whether the current dividend is sustainable at a $1.87 share price.