HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
This is the year Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has to prove it can deliver consistent, sustainable value — and the next catalyst is the Q3 2026 Earnings Release on October 21, which will anchor the price at $322.55 with a bull target of $338.68 and a bear fallback of $306.42, leaning 50% toward the bull path. The company’s ability to show resilience in a travel sector still grappling with lingering pandemic effects and macroeconomic headwinds will be the defining test of its recovery. The next three earnings releases — Q4 2026, Q1 2027, and Q2 2027 — will be the next steps in this sequence, each offering a chance to either reinforce the bull narrative or trigger a reevaluation of the company’s long-term prospects.
The schedule
- Wed21Oct
- Tue9Feb
- Tue27Apr
- Wed28Jul
Past
- Wed29Jul
Actual outcome: Mixed
Hilton reported Q2 earnings that met estimates and raised its full-year profit outlook, driven by higher revenue and resilient travel demand. However, the company also issued soft third-quarter guidance that fell below Wall Street expectations. These conflicting signals between strong current performance and near-term headwinds left investors uncertain, resulting in a completely flat price reaction.
Hilton reported Q2 earnings that met estimates and raised its full-year profit outlook, driven by higher revenue and resilient travel demand. However, the company also issued soft third-quarter guidance that fell below Wall Street expectations. These conflicting signals between strong current performance and near-term headwinds left investors uncertain, resulting in a completely flat price reaction.
- Tue28Jul
Actual outcome: Mixed · $320.49 at outcome
Hilton reported Q2 earnings that met estimates and raised its full-year profit outlook, driven by resilient travel demand and RevPAR growth. However, third-quarter guidance came in below Wall Street expectations, sparking an initial sell-off. The conflicting signals of strong full-year optimism versus soft near-term guidance ultimately resulted in a flat, mixed price reaction.
Hilton reported Q2 earnings that met estimates and raised its full-year profit outlook, driven by resilient travel demand and RevPAR growth. However, third-quarter guidance came in below Wall Street expectations, sparking an initial sell-off. The conflicting signals of strong full-year optimism versus soft near-term guidance ultimately resulted in a flat, mixed price reaction.
- Tue28Apr
Actual outcome: Mixed · $324.07 at outcome
Hilton delivered a mixed Q1 report, meeting GAAP EPS estimates and beating on adjusted EPS while slightly missing revenue consensus. Although the company raised its full-year room revenue growth forecast on the back of strong travel demand, the stock saw a muted 2.5% decline as investors weighed the solid fundamentals against an already full valuation.
Hilton delivered a mixed Q1 report, meeting GAAP EPS estimates and beating on adjusted EPS while slightly missing revenue consensus. Although the company raised its full-year room revenue growth forecast on the back of strong travel demand, the stock saw a muted 2.5% decline as investors weighed the solid fundamentals against an already full valuation.
- Fri20Mar
Actual outcome: Bull · $303.16 at outcome
Hilton's stock rose 3.6% and nearly reached the bull target following positive updates on the MGM integration and the announcement of an exclusive global partnership with YOTEL to expand its lifestyle segment. Investor sentiment was further bolstered by the launch of the Hilton AI Planner and new management contracts, which reinforced the company's growth trajectory and loyalty program efficiency.
Hilton's stock rose 3.6% and nearly reached the bull target following positive updates on the MGM integration and the announcement of an exclusive global partnership with YOTEL to expand its lifestyle segment. Investor sentiment was further bolstered by the launch of the Hilton AI Planner and new management contracts, which reinforced the company's growth trajectory and loyalty program efficiency.
- Wed11Feb
Actual outcome: Bull · $314.62 at outcome
Hilton delivered a strong Q4 beat, reporting EPS of $2.08 (vs. $2.02 estimate) and surpassing revenue expectations, driven by 10% year-over-year growth in Q4 Adjusted EBITDA. The fundamental strength, coupled with management highlighting a massive development pipeline supporting 6%-7% annual unit expansion, reassured investors that the growth trajectory justifies the premium valuation. This positive outlook and earnings beat drove the stock well above the $305 bull target, despite news of billionaire investor Bill Ackman exiting his position.
Hilton delivered a strong Q4 beat, reporting EPS of $2.08 (vs. $2.02 estimate) and surpassing revenue expectations, driven by 10% year-over-year growth in Q4 Adjusted EBITDA. The fundamental strength, coupled with management highlighting a massive development pipeline supporting 6%-7% annual unit expansion, reassured investors that the growth trajectory justifies the premium valuation. This positive outlook and earnings beat drove the stock well above the $305 bull target, despite news of billionaire investor Bill Ackman exiting his position.
