FOXFFox Factory Holding Corp.
Fox Factory Holding Corp. sells high-performance suspension systems, chassis components, and other engineered products for off-road vehicles, motorcycles, and automotive applications. The next catalyst is Oct 17, 2026 — Fox Factory Holding Corp. stock surges, which will test the company’s ability to capitalize on recent product launches and inventory clarity.
- Revenue grew 5.3% YoY to $1.48B, but net income remained negative at -$26.57M, with a net margin of -1.8%.
- Free cash flow (TTM) was $15.66M, and debt-to-equity stood at 0.45x.
- Shareholders’ equity totaled $1.22B, with diluted EPS of $0.10.
The Read
FOXF's stock historically reacted with a median absolute move of ~4% on OEM inventory updates and generic catalysts, but faced sharper declines when missing GAAP EPS guidance or facing weak end-market demand, with the July 1 OEM inventory event seeing an 8.4% rally despite broader industry softness.
The schedule
- Sat10Oct
Rollout of the 2027 model-year suspension products. Investor focus will be on pricing power and unit volume uptake amid cautious consumer discretionary spending.
- Sat17Oct
The stock surge will test the market's reaction to recent news, potentially signaling renewed investor confidence in the company's strategic direction and operational performance.
- Fri23Oct
The guidance cut will test the market's perception of the company's long-term growth prospects and its ability to manage expectations in a challenging environment.
- Thu5Nov
The earnings release will test whether the company can sustain its recent momentum and deliver better-than-expected revenue and margin performance, following a recent guidance cut.
- Fri6Nov
Q3 2026 earnings release and preliminary 2027 outlook. The street will heavily scrutinize CAPEX discipline and cash flow, which has run negative in recent quarters.
- Tue1Dec
The policy check-in will test the market's sensitivity to potential trade-related disruptions, particularly in the outdoor and automotive equipment sectors.
- Fri15Jan
The strategic update and refinancing will test the market's reaction to potential changes in the company's capital structure and long-term growth plans.
- Sun25Apr
The analyst recommendation will test the market's confidence in the company's long-term value and its ability to navigate macroeconomic headwinds.
- Fri7May
This release will test the company's ability to maintain its recent performance and deliver consistent revenue growth, with a focus on margin expansion and inventory management.
- Fri6Aug
The release will test the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and deliver stronger-than-expected results, particularly in the context of global trade policy and demand trends.
Past
- Tue15Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $18.91 at outcome
FoxF reported earnings per share of $0.11, missing the guidance of $0.13. The company announced the integration of Marucci Sports, which led to an impairment review, resulting in a $12.5 million charge. The stock reacted negatively due to the earnings miss and the impairment charge, which signaled potential underperformance and strategic missteps in the integration process.
A mid-quarter update on the Marucci Sports acquisition, with potential scrutiny on goodwill impairment given recent GAAP net income weakness.
- Fri7Aug
Actual outcome: Bull · $21.01 at outcome
Fox Factory reported Q2 2026 earnings with an EPS of -0.36, matching expectations, but the stock rose as forward guidance signaled stabilization in demand and highlighted progress in the aftermarket channel. The company also announced strategic initiatives that reinforced long-term growth prospects, driving the rally despite the neutral earnings report. The price exceeded the bull target, aligning with the positive outlook.
Fox Factory is scheduled to report Q2 2026 earnings. The focus will be on GAAP profitability and demand stabilization in the aftermarket channel, particularly given Q1's sell-off despite a headline beat.
- Wed1Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $18.47 at outcome
Fox Factory's OEM inventory and platform update provided clarity on 2027–2028 volume visibility, reinforcing long-term demand from key customers. The stock rallied 8.4% as the update signaled stabilization in demand and aligned with the bull target, despite a mixed earnings report. The strategic focus on platform improvements and customer alignment drove the positive price action.
OEM inventory and model-year platform update where Fox Factory outlines suspension content on upcoming powersports and truck platforms, giving a clearer view on 2027–2028 volume visibility from key customers.
- Sat20Jun
Actual outcome: Bear · $16.72 at outcome
Industry data heading into the peak summer season revealed softer-than-expected retail sales for trucks, SUVs, and off-road vehicles. This weakness in end-market demand raised concerns over inventory buildup and pressured the outlook for Fox Factory's premium suspension and upfitting volumes, driving the stock 6.8% lower.
Key U.S. auto and powersports demand indicators into the peak summer season, including retail sales for trucks, SUVs, and off-road vehicles that drive Fox Factory’s premium suspension and upfitting volumes.
- Fri8May
Actual outcome: Bear · $16.36 at outcome
Fox Factory Holding reported a Q1 earnings and revenue beat, delivering EPS of $0.18 compared to the consensus estimate of $0.09. Despite the top- and bottom-line beats, the stock fell 10.0% in the weeks following the release, indicating that underlying metrics or forward guidance failed to impress investors and overshadowed the headline results.
Market assessment of FOXF's Q1 fundamental performance following the massive -$6.86 GAAP EPS loss in Q4 2025.
- Wed15Apr
Actual outcome: Bull · $17.18 at outcome
Fox Factory shares exceeded the bull target, supported by positive market sentiment around the company's cost-cutting initiatives and asset sales expected to drive 2026 EBITDA growth. Additionally, the absence of disruptive new tariffs or trade escalations during the mid-April policy update provided a benign macro backdrop, allowing the stock to rally and maintain its strength.
President Trump’s tariff and trade policy update around mid-April is a high-impact macro catalyst for Fox Factory, given its global supply chain and exposure to discretionary vehicle upgrades. A benign outcome with limited new tariffs or targeted relief for auto and recreational goods could keep FOXF near $15.5, but a broad escalation on China/Mexico imports risks a reset toward $15.50 as investors reprice margin pressure and OEM volume risk.
- Fri27Feb
Actual outcome: Bear · $17.85 at outcome
While Fox Factory reported an adjusted EPS beat of $0.20, the company failed to achieve the market's primary focus of returning to positive GAAP EPS, instead reporting a massive GAAP loss of $6.86 per share. This significant bottom-line miss and concerns over the 2026 margin outlook triggered a sharp sell-off, driving the stock well below the $17.50 bear floor to $15.50 by the run date.
Release of Q4 results and crucial full-year 2026 outlook. Market is focused on return to positive GAAP EPS and stabilized gross margins after several weak quarters.
