APLSApellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
The schedule
- Thu15Oct
Over the next year, commercial and Medicare payer decisions on coverage criteria, step edits, and reimbursement for SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI will be a major driver of APLS’s revenue quality. From an assumed base of $38.00, constructive coverage and manageable rebates could pull the stock toward $44.00, whereas tighter access or higher net pricing pressure could knock it back toward $44.00.
- Thu29Oct
- Sun15Nov
Given ongoing operating and free cash flow losses, APLS may need to consider an equity raise or other balance sheet transaction within the next year to secure funding for commercialization and pipeline development. From a base of $28.00, a well-structured, modestly dilutive raise alongside strong fundamentals could allow the stock to recover toward $32.00, while a large or poorly timed deal could pressure shares toward $32.00.
- Mon15Feb
A significant clinical update from APLS’s complement-focused pipeline over the next year could materially change perceptions of the company’s long-term revenue diversification. From a base of $30.00, positive mid- to late-stage data could drive the stock toward $45.00, while disappointing results or safety concerns could cut the equity value back toward $45.00.
- Thu29Apr
- Thu29Jul
Past
- Thu30Jul
Actual outcome: Mixed
- Tue31Mar
Actual outcome: Bull
Biogen announced a definitive agreement to acquire Apellis Pharmaceuticals for $41.00 per share in cash, plus a contingent value right of up to $4.00 per share, valuing the deal at approximately $5.6 billion. The acquisition bolsters Biogen's immunology and rare-disease portfolios with the addition of Apellis's C3 therapies. This premium offer caused Apellis's stock to surge over 130% on the day of the announcement. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Missed anticipation: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 to 2026-05-29 (~6.6σ vs typical 10d vol). Confidence 100%. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Missed anticipation: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 to 2026-05-29 (~6.6σ vs typical 10d vol). Confidence 100%. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-05-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Provisional target 2026-05-29 not yet reached. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-05-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-05-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-01: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-01 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-02: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-02 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-03: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-04: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-04 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-05: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-05 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-09: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-11: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-11 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-12: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-15: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-16: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-17: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-18: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-19: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-19 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-23: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-23 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-24: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-24: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-25: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-25 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-26: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-26 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-30: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-30 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-01: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-01 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-02: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-02 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-03: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-09: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-14: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-15: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-16: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-17: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-20: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-21: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-27: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-27 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-28: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-28 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-31: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-31 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-03: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-04: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-04 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-05: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-05 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-12: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-13: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-13 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-14: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-17: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-18: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-20: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-24: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-09: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-14: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-14 observed.
Biogen announced a definitive agreement to acquire Apellis Pharmaceuticals for $41.00 per share in cash, plus a contingent value right of up to $4.00 per share, valuing the deal at approximately $5.6 billion. The acquisition bolsters Biogen's immunology and rare-disease portfolios with the addition of Apellis's C3 therapies. This premium offer caused Apellis's stock to surge over 130% on the day of the announcement. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Missed anticipation: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 to 2026-05-29 (~6.6σ vs typical 10d vol). Confidence 100%. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Missed anticipation: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 to 2026-05-29 (~6.6σ vs typical 10d vol). Confidence 100%. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-05-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Provisional target 2026-05-29 not yet reached. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-05-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-05-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-01: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-01 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-02: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-02 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-03: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-04: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-04 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-05: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-05 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-09: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-11: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-11 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-12: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-15: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-16: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-17: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-18: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-19: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-19 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-23: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-23 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-24: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-24: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-25: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-25 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-26: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-26 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-30: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-06-30 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-01: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-01 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-02: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-02 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-03: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-09: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-14: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-15: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-16: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-17: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-20: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-21: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-27: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-27 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-28: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-28 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-29: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-31: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-07-31 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-03: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-04: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-04 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-05: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-05 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-12: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-13: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-13 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-14: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-17: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-18: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-20: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-24: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-08-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-07: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-09: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Short-Term (6–10 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-14: +140.7% from 2026-03-27 (~6.6σ). Target date 2026-04-10 reached; move through 2026-09-14 observed.
