ALTG June 25 1.17 billion expected move?

For "ALTG June 25 1.17 billion historical move size": across 7 resolved past events on file, ALTG saw a median absolute move of ~11.7% to the outcome date, with price often settling inside the prior scenario band (backward-looking only). See the historical catalyst schedule on Scouter for ALTG (past outcomes only; forward bull/bear targets unlock with a Starter or Premium free trial).

ALTG 1.17 billion expected move?

For "ALTG 1.17 billion historical move size": across 7 resolved past events on file, ALTG saw a median absolute move of ~11.7% to the outcome date, with price often settling inside the prior scenario band (backward-looking only). See the historical catalyst schedule on Scouter for ALTG (past outcomes only; forward bull/bear targets unlock with a Starter or Premium free trial).

ALTG average generic catalyst stock move?

For "ALTG average generic catalyst stock move": across 7 resolved past events on file, ALTG saw a median absolute move of ~11.7% to the outcome date, with price often settling inside the prior scenario band (backward-looking only). See the historical catalyst schedule on Scouter for ALTG (past outcomes only; forward bull/bear targets unlock with a Starter or Premium free trial).

ALTG (Alta Equipment Group Inc.) — Stock Analysis, Catalysts & AI Research

ALTGAlta Equipment Group Inc.

IndustrialsDistributors

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (ALTG) distributes industrial equipment and services to construction, energy, and infrastructure sectors. The next catalyst is November 4, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test the company’s ability to stabilize margins and manage its debt load amid a weak revenue environment.

Revenue fell 2.2% YoY to $1.79B in the latest period.
Free cash flow (TTM) stands at $21.60M, but net income is -$74.70M and shareholders’ equity is -$8.80M.
The stock has historically moved about 18% on average around catalysts, rallying 6% in the last major event.

The Read

Alta Equipment Group's stock has historically moved about 18% on average around catalysts, rallying 6%.

Nov 4, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release

Chart by TradingView

The schedule

Wed4Nov
The earnings release will test the company's ability to deliver revenue growth and margin expansion, following a recent earnings miss that highlighted mix challenges.
Sun14Feb
The guidance for 2027 will test the company's ability to project growth and manage debt, with a focus on the impact of the National Rebuild initiative on its customer base.
Thu6May
The earnings release will test the company's ability to maintain revenue growth and improve margins, with a focus on the impact of the National Rebuild initiative on its equipment leasing business.
Wed4Aug
The earnings release will test the company's ability to sustain revenue momentum and improve cash flow, with a focus on the impact of infrastructure spending on its equipment leasing business.

Past

Tue15Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $6.31 at outcome
The stock rallied 9.1% following the secondary equity offering, driven by positive market sentiment around the company's strategy to strengthen its balance sheet. Despite the dilution risk, investors viewed the offering as a necessary step to capitalize on the recent infrastructure-driven momentum. The price movement reflected confidence in the company's long-term prospects rather than immediate financial performance.
A potential equity raise to repair a heavily leveraged balance sheet, utilizing the liquidity provided by the recent infrastructure-driven runup.
Wed5Aug
Actual outcome: Bull · $7.09 at outcome
Alta Equipment Group reported Q4 2025 revenue of $509.1 million, beating estimates of $489.56 million, while EPS met expectations at -$0.39. The top-line beat was driven by a 2.2% year-over-year increase in total revenues and a strong 43% sequential jump in new and used equipment sales. This solid revenue performance and the provision of 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance drove a 9.1% rally in the stock following the release.
Alta's critical summer operating season results, where utilization rates must overcome a trailing Q1 revenue miss.
Fri31Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $7.37 at outcome
Alta Equipment Group reported stronger Q2 results with increased revenues across all segments and narrowed its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook due to improved delivery timing. The stock rallied 12% as positive guidance and improved operational performance signaled stabilization in demand and better margin prospects, driving investor confidence despite the earnings miss.
Updates on project allocations stemming from President Trump's 'National Rebuild' initiative, which previously catalyzed a rally in heavy machinery names.
Thu25Jun
Actual outcome: Bear · $6.19 at outcome
Alta's capital structure and debt refinancing update failed to reassure investors regarding the company's severe liquidity pressures. The lack of favorable refinancing terms to adequately address its $1.17 billion debt burden and negative equity position exacerbated balance sheet concerns, driving the stock down 20.5% to breach the bear floor.
With $1.17 billion in debt against just $23.9 million in cash and a negative equity position, Alta must secure favorable refinancing terms to alleviate liquidity pressures.
Thu7May
Actual outcome: Bear · $6.53 at outcome
Alta Equipment Group reported a weak Q1 2026, missing revenue estimates as total revenues decreased $12.5 million year-over-year to $410.5 million alongside a net loss of $0.62 per share. Management attributed the lower revenue and adjusted EBITDA to harsh winter weather and a pull-forward of equipment purchases into the prior quarter, failing to demonstrate the margin improvement the market demanded and driving shares well below the bear floor.
Q1 2026 earnings on 2026-05-06 will test whether Alta can translate the stronger infrastructure backdrop into improved margins and cash generation; at a stretched $7.96 with overbought RSI, the market is demanding clear progress toward profitability and debt management, with a favorable outcome taking shares toward $8.40 and a miss or soft commentary pulling them back toward $8.40 by 2026-05-13.
Wed15Apr
Actual outcome: Bull · $7.43 at outcome
The 'National Rebuild' initiative included specific, accelerated timelines for heavy machinery-intensive projects and a robust funding package that directly addressed Alta's demand backdrop. This clarity on long-term infrastructure spending drove the stock past the $6.10 bull target as investors prioritized the anticipated surge in equipment rental and sales over existing leverage concerns.
Macro catalyst where President Trump's 'National Rebuild' infrastructure initiative could boost Alta Equipment Group Inc.'s demand backdrop; a supportive package with clear project timelines would justify a move toward $6.10, while vague plans, delays, or tariff-heavy offsets could see the stock drift down toward $6.10 as investors focus back on leverage and execution risk.
Thu26Feb
Actual outcome: Bull · $6.95 at outcome
Alta Equipment Group reported Q4 2025 EPS of -$0.39, matching estimates, while revenue of $509.1 million beat expectations of $489.56 million. The top-line beat was driven by a 2.2% year-over-year increase in total revenues and a strong 43% sequential jump in new and used equipment sales. This solid revenue performance and positive demand signal drove the stock higher in the week following the release.
Q4 2025 results are the first major test following the disastrous Q3. Must demonstrate significant cost control and a much smaller net loss, or an unexpected return to profitability, to stabilize the stock. Guidance for FY26 is critical.