AIP September 15 offering expected move?

For "AIP September 15 offering historical move size": across 7 resolved past events on file, AIP saw a median absolute move of ~18.5% to the outcome date (backward-looking only). See the historical catalyst schedule on Scouter for AIP (past outcomes only; forward bull/bear targets unlock with a Starter or Premium free trial).

AIP offering expected move?

For "AIP offering historical move size": across 7 resolved past events on file, AIP saw a median absolute move of ~18.5% to the outcome date (backward-looking only). See the historical catalyst schedule on Scouter for AIP (past outcomes only; forward bull/bear targets unlock with a Starter or Premium free trial).

AIP average generic catalyst stock move?

For "AIP average generic catalyst stock move": across 7 resolved past events on file, AIP saw a median absolute move of ~18.5% to the outcome date (backward-looking only). See the historical catalyst schedule on Scouter for AIP (past outcomes only; forward bull/bear targets unlock with a Starter or Premium free trial).

AIP (Arteris, Inc.) — Stock Analysis, Catalysts & AI Research

AIPArteris, Inc.

Information TechnologySemiconductors

This year, Arteris, Inc. (AIP) has to prove it can convert its AI IP design wins into real revenue and navigate the geopolitical tightrope of U.S. export controls. The next catalyst — a Tier-1 AI / Data Center IP design win on 2026-10-21 — anchors the stock at $26.00, with a bull target of $34.00 and a bear fallback of $21.00 (lean 60%, next step bull). If the win materializes, the stock could rally to $34.00, but a failure to secure the deal would send it back down to $21.00.

The Read

Arteris’s stock initially fell about 6% on Q4 2025 results due to liquidity concerns and again nearly 3% on a dilutive capital raise, but then surged over 18% on a major automotive design win and rallied further 27% and 9% on strong AI chip demand and record revenues.

Chart by TradingView

The schedule

No upcoming catalysts on the current packet.

Past

Tue15Sep
Actual outcome: Bear · $23.65 at outcome
The stock fell below the bear floor, indicating a negative reaction to the strategic equity offering. The market likely viewed the dilution risk as unfavorable, leading to a decline in share price despite the initial rise.
Given Arteris' high operating cash burn, the market expects capital raising activities. Favorable non-dilutive or premium financing points to $38.00, but a standard secondary offering drops shares to $26.00.
Tue11Aug
Actual outcome: Bear · $22.01 at outcome
Arteris reported a quarterly loss of $0.17 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.17, and provided guidance that signaled stabilization in demand. The company also announced key strategic developments, including the appointment of a new CFO and record revenue results, which reinforced long-term growth prospects and drove the stock higher despite the EPS miss.
Arteris delivers its Q2 2026 results following a massive post-Q1 run-up and subsequent 40% correction. A strong report targets $36.50, while a miss risks $23.50.
Tue2Jun
Actual outcome: Bear · $34.28 at outcome
Arteris held its Annual General Meeting, but the event failed to deliver new material catalysts to sustain investor enthusiasm. Despite management previously outlining a growth path toward a $250 million revenue goal driven by AI and data center trends, the lack of fresh positive developments or upside surprises at the AGM led to a 9.6% decline in the stock.
Arteris holds its Annual General Meeting to vote on corporate governance and provide a general operations update.
Tue12May
Actual outcome: Bull · $37.34 at outcome
Arteris reported record first-quarter results, meeting EPS estimates and beating revenue expectations. The company highlighted strong demand tied to AI chips, data center infrastructure, and automotive systems, which prompted management to update full-year guidance. These better-than-expected fundamentals and strong demand drivers aligned with the bull case, keeping the stock elevated near the bull target.
Wed15Apr
Actual outcome: Bull · $22.63 at outcome
Arteris announced a major automotive design win, signaling that its IP roadmap is gaining traction with auto OEM/ADAS customers and that the company is deepening its exposure in a high-value end market. The stock reacted positively because the win validated the long-term commercialization story and pushed shares through the bull target by the run date, reinforcing the market’s view that this was a meaningful strategic win rather than a routine update.
Thu5Mar
Actual outcome: Bear · $14.52 at outcome
AIP announced an equity capital raise, introducing immediate dilution risk for existing shareholders. The market reacted negatively to the prospect of an increased share count, driving the stock down 6.6% as investors priced in the dilutive impact of the new offering.
Thu12Feb
Actual outcome: Bear · $14.73 at outcome
Arteris met EPS expectations and reported a revenue beat, but the stock trended toward the bear floor as investors focused on the company's precarious liquidity position. Despite operational milestones like the 4-billion-chip shipment mark and an expanded NXP partnership, the high quarterly cash burn of ~$9M against only ~$17.5M in cash reserves signaled an imminent need for a capital raise, overshadowing the AI-driven growth narrative.